{"id":18438,"date":"2025-07-22T08:34:44","date_gmt":"2025-07-22T03:04:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jbsagolf.com\/blogs\/?p=18438"},"modified":"2025-10-03T10:46:39","modified_gmt":"2025-10-03T10:46:39","slug":"what-the-numbers-say-predicting-the-dark-horses-for-this-weeks-pga-tour-event","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.jbsagolf.com\/blogs\/what-the-numbers-say-predicting-the-dark-horses-for-this-weeks-pga-tour-event\/","title":{"rendered":"What the Numbers Say: Predicting the Dark Horses for This Week\u2019s PGA Tour Event"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The PGA Tour is the primary avenue for golf enthusiasts and professionals to enjoy the sport and see some of the top athletes go head-to-head.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">With over 100 golfers participating, upsets often come from those who are not even in contention based on the bookmakers. But this is part of the appeal of golf. It is an unpredictable sport with numerous possible outcomes.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">When it comes to the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bookmakers.bet\/betting-predictions-today\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">bookies prediction<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> for the PGA Tour, the odds are often very attractive to punters. The sheer number of contestants means that outright bets have longer odds when compared to most other mainstream sports, such as football, basketball, or tennis.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Every new PGA Tour event creates a buzz among golf enthusiasts, who analyze past performances, recent form, and overall game style of some of their favorite golfers in the pro circuit.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_82_2 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/www.jbsagolf.com\/blogs\/what-the-numbers-say-predicting-the-dark-horses-for-this-weeks-pga-tour-event\/#Who_Is_the_Dark_Horse_on_Tour\" >Who Is the Dark Horse on Tour?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.jbsagolf.com\/blogs\/what-the-numbers-say-predicting-the-dark-horses-for-this-weeks-pga-tour-event\/#Sepp_Straka\" >Sepp Straka<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/www.jbsagolf.com\/blogs\/what-the-numbers-say-predicting-the-dark-horses-for-this-weeks-pga-tour-event\/#Russell_Henley\" >Russell Henley<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/www.jbsagolf.com\/blogs\/what-the-numbers-say-predicting-the-dark-horses-for-this-weeks-pga-tour-event\/#Matt_Fitzpatrick\" >Matt Fitzpatrick<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/www.jbsagolf.com\/blogs\/what-the-numbers-say-predicting-the-dark-horses-for-this-weeks-pga-tour-event\/#Daniel_Berger\" >Daniel Berger<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/www.jbsagolf.com\/blogs\/what-the-numbers-say-predicting-the-dark-horses-for-this-weeks-pga-tour-event\/#How_to_Pick_Dark_Horses_in_Golf\" >How to Pick Dark Horses in Golf<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Who_Is_the_Dark_Horse_on_Tour\"><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Who Is the Dark Horse on Tour?<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Dark horses are contestants that are not viewed as favorites by most people, but have a proven track record and are competitive enough to pose a threat to the favorites.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Whether it is a run of form or another factor, these contestants are ready to take down the players with the shortest odds on the PGA Tour, which makes them exceptionally lucrative for punters.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Sepp_Straka\"><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sepp Straka<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sepp Straka has managed to land two PGA Tour wins in 2025, which places him among the favorites to repeat the feat. Resilience in high-pressure situations and an impressive record in total strokes gained make Sepp Straka one of the most viable dark horse bets at the moment, with a real chance to deliver an upset.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Russell_Henley\"><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Russell Henley<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">After multiple solid showings in 2025, Russell Henley is another golfer worth watching during this week\u2019s PGA Tour. After finishing T7 at the US Open and T5 at the Open Championship, Henley is an interesting pick as a <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vocabulary.com\/dictionary\/dark%20horse\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">dark horse<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Precision and consistency give him a solid shot at a high finish, with a decent possibility to go all the way as well.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Matt_Fitzpatrick\"><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Matt Fitzpatrick<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Matt Fitzpatrick is one of the most resilient golfers currently playing and is a former winner of the US Open, making him one of the most realistic candidates for an upset at the current PGA Tour.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Other experienced golfers often point to Matt Fitzpatrick as an interesting golfer to watch in high-stress situations, due to his successful track record and mental fortitude.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Daniel_Berger\"><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Daniel Berger<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">While Daniel Berger may have yet to break out with a win in 2025, he has consistently finished toward the top and is among the best players currently competing, based on tee-to-green stats alone.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Despite not being a headline-grabbing contestant, Berger has proven himself as a resilient golfer, thriving in high-stakes situations.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"How_to_Pick_Dark_Horses_in_Golf\"><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">How to Pick Dark Horses in Golf<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Choosing a dark horse in golf and other sports may sound easier than it is in practice. Golf is particularly challenging in this regard, as over 100 contestants enter the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pgatour.com\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">PGA Tour<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> at the beginning, which creates a large pool of potential candidates who could deliver the upset.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, this does not mean that it\u2019s entirely up to chance. In fact, a tried and tested method can increase your chances of picking the right golfer to go on and win the title.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Here are some factors you should not overlook when looking for an unlikely winner:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Recent form: The player&#8217;s performance in recent weeks and months can reveal a great deal about their preparation levels. If there is a sense of progression in the results, this is generally a good sign<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Course fit: Certain players thrive on more strategic tests, courses that are less forgiving toward missed fairways, and inconsistent putting strokes<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Statistical indicators: Advanced stats like Stokes Gained provide valuable information on how a player performs under certain conditions, as well as how well-prepared they are to mentally handle pressure<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Weather and external conditions: Weather factors can play a major role in how players perform on the golf course, which is important to consider when looking to bet on a dark horse<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The odds will also provide you with important signals. Dark horses often have longer odds, which is an indicator that punters are undervaluing their chances.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The PGA Tour is the primary avenue for golf enthusiasts and professionals to enjoy the sport and see some of the top athletes go head-to-head.\u00a0 With over 100 golfers participating, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":37407,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-18438","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-sports"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>What the Numbers Say: Predicting the Dark Horses for This Week\u2019s PGA Tour Event - JBSA Golf<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.jbsagolf.com\/blogs\/what-the-numbers-say-predicting-the-dark-horses-for-this-weeks-pga-tour-event\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"What the Numbers Say: Predicting the Dark Horses for This Week\u2019s PGA Tour Event - 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